Version 3

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shellbark hickory (Carya laciniosa) Model Reliability: Low Model Reliability Low
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Current Distribution Maps for shellbark hickory

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>Current Forest Inventory and Analysis for shellbark hickory
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Current Forest Inventory and Analysis

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Climate Change Scenario Maps Model Reliability Low

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Hadley - High Scenario for shellbark hickory
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HadleyCM3 – A1FI (High, "Harsh") Climate Scenario

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Ranked Maps of the Predictors Used in the Model

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Mean May-September precipitation (mm)
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Mean May-September precipitation (mm)

Potential Changes in Abundance and Range (Future)
GCM SCENARIO % Area Occ Ave IV Sum IV Future/Current IV
Actual FIA 2.7 1.7 463 NA
Modelled Current 1.8 1.1 202 NA
GCM3Avg-Lo 5.8 1.1 601 2.98
GCM3Avg-Hi 8.6 1 872 4.32
PCM-Lo 4.6 1.1 494 2.45
PCM-Hi 9 1 917 4.54
GFDL-Lo 7.1 1.1 728 3.6
GFDL-Hi 9.8 1 987 4.89
Hadley-Lo 5.1 1.1 533 2.64
Hadley-Hi 7.1 1 724 3.58

    Cautions & Model Info


Notice:

This is version 3 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas. You can view version 4 of the Tree Atlas, or the most current shellbark hickory page.



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https://www.fs.usda.gov/nrs/atlas/tree/v3/405