chestnut oak (Quercus prinus)
Model Reliability: High
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 10.6 | 11.2 | 34770 | N/A |
| RFimp | 14.7 | 7.5 | 32480 | 0.93 |
| CCSM45 | 20.5 | 6.4 | 38328 | 1.18 |
| CCSM85 | 22.9 | 5.9 | 40006 | 1.23 |
| GFDL45 | 23.6 | 5.8 | 40223 | 1.24 |
| GFDL85 | 25.3 | 5.4 | 40004 | 1.23 |
| HAD45 | 21 | 5.9 | 36283 | 1.12 |
| HAD85 | 22.5 | 5.7 | 37243 | 1.15 |
| GCM45 | 24.7 | 5.3 | 38278 | 1.18 |
| GCM85 | 26.6 | 5 | 39085 | 1.2 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Chestnut oak is narrowly distributed (8.1% of area), but dense, high IV, and abundant throughout the Appalachian region. Its highly reliable model predicts only a bit of increase in total area but some northward expansion into Maine. However, the SHIFT model largely limits those new habitat locations from being naturally colonized within 100 years, though some expansion into this region has possibility. It is also rated as highly adaptable such that its overall capability to deal to with climate change is very good. SHIFT also suggests it to be an excellent infill species.
Family: Fagaceae
Guild: persistent, large-seeded, advance growthdependent
Functional Lifeform: medium-size deciduous tree
| 6.1 | 1.39 |
| 1.29 |  |
MODFACs
What traits will impact chestnut oak's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:
Primary Positive Traits
Seedling establishment Vegetative reproduction Environment habitat specificity Fire topkill
Primary Negative Traits
Insect pests Disease