southern red oak (Quercus falcata)
Model Reliability: Medium
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 18 | 4.7 | 24891 | N/A |
| RFimp | 25.2 | 3 | 21823 | 0.88 |
| CCSM45 | 43.7 | 3.6 | 46773 | 2.14 |
| CCSM85 | 52.8 | 4.5 | 70023 | 3.21 |
| GFDL45 | 50.8 | 4.1 | 61284 | 2.81 |
| GFDL85 | 62.8 | 4.4 | 81367 | 3.73 |
| HAD45 | 52.3 | 4.8 | 73443 | 3.37 |
| HAD85 | 62.6 | 5.2 | 95404 | 4.37 |
| GCM45 | 53.3 | 3.9 | 60500 | 2.77 |
| GCM85 | 64.9 | 4.3 | 82266 | 3.77 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Southern red oak is a widely distributed (13.9% of area), dense, low IV, but common species across the southern US, and our medium reliable model suggests a large increase in habitat throughout the South, but also a northeastern extension of range especially under RCP 8.5. However, the SHIFT model largely limits those northern locations from being naturally colonized within 100 years, though a fairly large northward expansion has some possibility. It also rates a high adaptability rating such that its overall capability to cope with a changing climate is very good. It also is rated very highly by SHIFT as a potential infill species.
Family: Fagaceae
Guild: persistent, large-seeded, advance growthdependent
Functional Lifeform: medium-size to large deciduous tree
| 5.3 | 1.21 |
| 0.21 |  |
MODFACs
What traits will impact southern red oak's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:
Primary Positive Traits
Temperature gradient