Version 3

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pawpaw (Asimina triloba) Model Reliability: Low Model Reliability Low

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Current Distribution Maps for pawpaw

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>Current Forest Inventory and Analysis for pawpaw
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Current Forest Inventory and Analysis

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Climate Change Scenario Maps Model Reliability Low

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Hadley - High Scenario for pawpaw
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HadleyCM3 – A1FI (High, "Harsh") Climate Scenario

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Ranked Maps of the Predictors Used in the Model

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Potential soil productivity (m3 of timber/ha)
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Potential soil productivity (m3 of timber/ha)



Potential Changes in Abundance and Range (Future)

GCM SCENARIO % Area Occ Ave IV Sum IV Future/Current IV
Actual FIA 3.3 2.2 714 NA
Modelled Current 4.9 1.1 552 NA
GCM3Avg-Lo 4.9 1.1 546 0.99
GCM3Avg-Hi 4.6 1.2 528 0.96
PCM-Lo 8.8 1.1 963 1.74
PCM-Hi 13.8 1.1 1,484 2.69
GFDL-Lo 5.5 1.1 598 1.08
GFDL-Hi 5 1.1 551 1
Hadley-Lo 4.1 1.2 467 0.85
Hadley-Hi 4 1.1 434 0.79


 


https://www.fs.usda.gov/nrs/atlas/tree/v3/367